ForetellerForeteller
HN
HnA4…njEwrank #874
othercryptosports
score
42
Follow
-9%
ROI · 7d
-$56
Profit · 7d
35
Markets
Performance · 7d35 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-3.4¢
Edge, worst case
-23.0¢
Closing line value
+26.2¢
other 0 · 12 callssize-weighted edge -3.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$7
other
-$14
crypto
-$49
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+133% · +$37
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$10143h
bought@1.00$10143h
redeemed@0.00expired144h
bought@0.42$10144h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired145h
redeemed@1.00+$50145h
bought@0.99$49145h
redeemed@1.00+$49145h
bought@0.90$44145h
redeemed@0.00expired145h

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