ForetellerForeteller
HO
Ho9C…mmJ8rank #134
sportsother
score
52
Follow
+34%
ROI · 7d
$263
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$125 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
15
Avg edge / share
+7.5¢
Edge, worst case
-8.7¢
Closing line value
+6.9¢
size-weighted edge +14.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$286
other
-$23
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+113% · +$132
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$248143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$116146h
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired233h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$331233h
boughtConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.31$23235h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.90$299235h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$302264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$66276h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$163282h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$163287h

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