ForetellerForeteller
HR
Hr5U…Nn77
sportsother
score
53
Follow
+61%
ROI · 7d
$5.4k
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$4.9k @ 0.50
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-33.8¢
Edge, worst case
-75.0¢
Closing line value
-32.8¢
size-weighted edge -33.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$5.3k
other
+$21
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+251% · +$3.5k
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$4.9k144h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.38$1.9k145h
soldARG wins WC26@0.11+$746146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$915146h
redeemed@1.00+$205146h
bought@0.90$184146h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.21$1.4k147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$470148h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.15+$655170h

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