ForetellerForeteller
HR
Hrai…BGK4rank #829
cryptosports
score
43
Follow
-62%
ROI · 7d
-$870
Profit · 7d
22
Markets
Performance · 7d22 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time17 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-23.0¢
Edge, worst case
-41.2¢
Closing line value
-7.9¢
crypto 0 · 15 callssize-weighted edge -42.9¢sizing discipline -0.55

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$141
crypto
-$729
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+341% · +$62
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.01+$7196h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$27196h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$37201h
boughtBTC Up@0.38$28201h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired201h
boughtBTC Up@0.62$116201h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired201h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$27202h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired205h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$27205h

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