ForetellerForeteller
HU
Hude…tfpArank #829
cryptoother
score
43
Follow
-53%
ROI · 7d
-$1.1k
Profit · 7d
33
Markets
Performance · 7d33 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time23 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-13.3¢
Edge, worst case
-24.0¢
Closing line value
-6.0¢
crypto 1 · 21 callssize-weighted edge -32.8¢sizing discipline -0.51

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$1.1k
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+282% · +$41
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired155h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$2155h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$10155h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired155h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired155h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$9155h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$2155h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired159h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$3159h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$8159h

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