ForetellerForeteller
HX
Hxt2…gJv4rank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+13%
ROI · 7d
$14
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+12.5¢
Edge, worst case
-18.4¢
Closing line value
+11.9¢
sports 2 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +9.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$46
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+112% · +$32
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$60144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$28156h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$24177h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$26233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$30237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$19245h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$15245h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$39264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$29280h

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