ForetellerForeteller
J1
J1BW…oFnT
sportscrypto
score
52
Follow
+90%
ROI · 7d
$227
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$100 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-41.4¢
Edge, worst case
-50.5¢
Closing line value
-16.1¢
size-weighted edge -39.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$291
crypto
-$65
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
NOR wins WC26
+708% · +$419
Recent activity
soldNOR wins WC26@0.50+$478216h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$20229h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired312h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.06$59312h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$65312h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$128312h

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