ForetellerForeteller
JB
JBQy…zeN3
othercrypto
score
52
Follow
-8%
ROI · 7d
-$15
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+18.6¢
Edge, worst case
-25.0¢
Closing line value
+3.1¢
size-weighted edge -7.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$15
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+89% · +$22
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$87161h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$87162h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$48162h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$47163h
boughtBTC Up@0.53$25163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$26163h
boughtBTC Up@0.57$15164h

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