ForetellerForeteller
JB
JBpb…EXqprank #8
sports
score
59
Follow
+19%
ROI · 7d
$0.68
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$1 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
82
Avg edge / share
+15.0¢
Edge, worst case
+7.6¢
Closing line value
+11.6¢
size-weighted edge +14.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$0.68
Current streak
5 wins
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+31% · +$0.18
Recent activity
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$1218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.84$0.97222h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$0.97233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.82$0.79234h
redeemedLinda Noskova wins WW26@1.00+$0.79243h
boughtLinda Noskova wins WW26@0.98$0.77245h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$0.77264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$0.59280h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$0.59287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$0.47318h

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