ForetellerForeteller
JC
JCHv…zwSRrank #193
sports
score
51
Follow
+7%
ROI · 7d
$165
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
86
Avg edge / share
+25.2¢
Edge, worst case
+9.0¢
Closing line value
-8.4¢
size-weighted edge +15.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$165
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+73% · +$276
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1.6k168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.92$1.4k168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.91$55168h
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.09+$62168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.38$93170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.57$238170h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$657237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.58$381238h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$144264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$107265h

Powered by Fortel