ForetellerForeteller
KM
KMrZ…FbLE
crypto
score
33
Follow
-83%
ROI · 7d
-$3.4k
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-48.2¢
Edge, worst case
-54.4¢
Closing line value
-47.2¢
size-weighted edge -45.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$3.4k
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired196h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$224196h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired295h
boughtBTC Up@0.44$2.8k295h
soldBTC Up@0.34+$719295h
boughtBTC Up@0.53$1.1k295h

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