ForetellerForeteller
QK
Qkid…7B5qrank #42
cryptosports
score
54
Follow
+54%
ROI · 7d
$2
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
97
Avg edge / share
+59.2¢
Edge, worst case
+18.1¢
Closing line value
-39.8¢
size-weighted edge +59.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$2
crypto
+$0.02
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$1
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$0.94153h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired153h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.90153h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1154h
boughtBTC Up@0.88$0.98154h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2154h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.78154h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$2168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$0.93181h

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