ForetellerForeteller
R8
R8Ea…M9zFrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
-51%
ROI · 7d
-$292
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$2.2k @ 0.21
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
19
Avg edge / share
+17.0¢
Edge, worst case
-7.3¢
Closing line value
+16.4¢
sports 19 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -15.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$292
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+100% · +$22
Recent activity
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired164h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$131233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$44237h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.21$456245h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.39$373245h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$65264h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$37287h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$49295h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$29295h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$22295h

Powered by Fortel