ForetellerForeteller
U6
U6FW…wgCH
other
score
45
Follow
-61%
ROI · 7d
-$168
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-2.6¢
Edge, worst case
-51.9¢
Closing line value
-34.9¢
size-weighted edge +10.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$168
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+0% · +$0.13
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.26163h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$104164h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$104164h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired164h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$2164h
soldBTC Up@0.06+$2164h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$34164h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired164h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$45165h
boughtBTC Up@0.10$90165h

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