ForetellerForeteller
ZR
ZREm…sso3rank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+55%
ROI · 7d
$82
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$279 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
94
Avg edge / share
+23.5¢
Edge, worst case
+14.0¢
Closing line value
+22.5¢
size-weighted edge +16.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$82
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+204% · +$68
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$102143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.25$16144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$17145h
soldESP wins WC26@0.18+$3224h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.22$19225h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.22$21225h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$40237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.46$1239h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.71$7240h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$18246h

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