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adpz…5YUdrank #193
crypto
score
51
Follow
-15%
ROI · 7d
-$23
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
8
Avg edge / share
+12.9¢
Edge, worst case
-12.3¢
Closing line value
+10.4¢
crypto 8 · 7 callssize-weighted edge +6.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$23
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+168% · +$17
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired193h
boughtBTC Up@0.16$23193h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired201h
boughtBTC Up@0.23$23201h
boughtBTC Up@0.26$15201h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$10201h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$27201h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$10202h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$54202h
boughtBTC Up@0.84$28202h

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