ForetellerForeteller
DB
dBFN…1oBprank #1155
sports
score
0
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$3.6k
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$1.4k @ 0.68
Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-26.5¢
Edge, worst case
-37.5¢
Closing line value
-13.3¢
sports 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -31.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$3.6k
Current streak
9 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedENG wins WC26@0.00expired144h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.36$681169h
soldESP wins WC26@0.50+$1.5k170h
redeemedNOR wins WC26@0.00expired216h
redeemedARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.00expired234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.41$93239h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.15$181256h
boughtARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.26$183256h

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