ForetellerForeteller
FU
fU8a…eC3rrank #532
cryptoother
score
47
Follow
-2%
ROI · 7d
-$6
Profit · 7d
16
Markets
Performance · 7d17 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$104 @ 0.22
Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.8¢
Edge, worst case
-44.5¢
Closing line value
-8.2¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -26.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$43
other
+$23
crypto
-$28
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+162% · +$32
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.32$10145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.98+$87145h
redeemed@0.00expired151h
bought@0.36$5151h
redeemed@1.00+$59154h
bought@0.40$23154h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.22$23154h
redeemed@0.00expired154h
bought@0.12$5154h

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