ForetellerForeteller
JU
juzb…cx8Nrank #1138
cryptoother
score
15
Follow
-81%
ROI · 7d
-$940
Profit · 7d
53
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time45 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-16.1¢
Edge, worst case
-26.0¢
Closing line value
+1.3¢
crypto 1 · 45 callssize-weighted edge -29.3¢sizing discipline -0.220% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$10
crypto
-$444
Current streak
17 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+97% · +$5
Recent activity
sold@0.18+$2144h
bought@0.49$5144h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.08$4145h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.50$4145h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired181h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$4181h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired182h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$4182h

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