ForetellerForeteller
MS
mSub…j5RL
crypto
score
60
Follow
+47%
ROI · 7d
$32
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
100
Avg edge / share
+41.2¢
Edge, worst case
+26.7¢
Closing line value
+3.5¢
size-weighted edge +49.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$32
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$5180h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2180h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$3193h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1193h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$78195h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired195h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$3195h
soldBTC Up@0.67+$13195h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$39195h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$16195h

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