ForetellerForeteller
V4
v4eT…EMkcrank #261
cryptosportsother
score
50
Follow
+5%
ROI · 7d
$218
Profit · 7d
52
Markets
Performance · 7d52 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time48 scored calls
Forecast score
18
Avg edge / share
+3.3¢
Edge, worst case
-7.7¢
Closing line value
-1.5¢
crypto 11 · 43 callssize-weighted edge -0.7¢sizing discipline -0.05

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$210
sports
+$9
other
-$2
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+145% · +$14
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$7199h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2200h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$2200h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired200h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4200h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5201h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$6201h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3201h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired201h

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