ForetellerForeteller
WH
whZt…Wf4Frank #432
othercryptosports
score
48
Follow
+7%
ROI · 7d
$392
Profit · 7d
53
Markets
Performance · 7d53 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time21 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-13.3¢
Edge, worst case
-31.8¢
Closing line value
-20.2¢
crypto 0 · 17 callssize-weighted edge -6.5¢sizing discipline +0.1433% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$297
sports
+$279
crypto
-$184
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
+340% · +$155
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$270144h
sold@1.00+$381144h
bought@0.66$25144h
bought@0.67$25144h
bought@0.69$156144h
bought@0.64$50144h
redeemed@1.00+$556144h
bought@0.81$150145h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.54$200145h

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