ForetellerForeteller
WZ
wz77…uakYrank #778
sports
score
44
Follow
-41%
ROI · 7d
-$487
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-5.3¢
Edge, worst case
-33.0¢
Closing line value
-4.7¢
size-weighted edge +4.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$487
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+82% · +$313
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.54$218147h
redeemedARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.00expired234h
boughtARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.12$93237h
boughtARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.26$275238h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$696238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.58$4239h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.55$380240h
redeemedESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.00expired265h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.27$212267h

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